One of the places I visit at times is St Stephen Martyr, Opotiki. It was originally a Mission Church, and Julius Volkner was killed there by Maori who believed a preacher from a cargo cult. It was one of the last acts of the Land Wars, and now about 150 years ago. The issues are not resolved. No nation really survives a war of conquest (which is what the Land Wars were) or a civil war. The nation is irrevocably changed.
I rely as much on history as on analytical speculation. Past and recent civil wars tell me they're about random horror, killing fields and escalating atrocities, desperation and betrayal, hunger and deprivation, unchecked disease, roaming gangs of homicidal opportunists, and madmen acting without constraint. The certainty implied by spreadsheets will be boiled away in the first ten minutes.Woodpile Report.
At present the case for civil war relies on the left successfully denying legal redress to the right, mainly through rigged elections, de facto censorship and an activist judiciary imposing rule by law. Government becomes entirely illegitimate and hostile, requiring a "when in the course of human events" solution.
It's a solid argument but it requires conservatives to initiate aggression against the 'legally constituted government'. It's unlikely, the right's natural posture is defense, but it can't be discounted out of hand, a lot of things were unlikely until they happened. And there's always the dreaded Black Swan, the name we give unknown unknowns, which could draw in the formerly hesitant or undecided.
The author presents this video as a warning to the left to avoid precipitating a civil war because they'd surely lose. It's a compelling argument. But he's asking us to believe leftists can be convinced by facts and reasoned hypothesis. Since when have demonstrably long odds deterred the left when they see grapes of wrath that need trampling out? Progressives will dismiss it as right wing preening.
Theorists liken civil war to forest fires, renewal disguised as disaster, but unlike forests, no country fully recovers from a civil war. The prudent will prepare to outlast it. Unlikely doesn't mean inconceivable.
The trouble is that there is already ideological conflict. This is currently expressed in regulations and rules -- imposed by fiat, without regards to consequences. But there is always a reaction. One comment: if you cannot be wealthy, don't be where there are crowds or comfortable offices for bureaucrats and their useful woke idiots.
One common gripe framed all these diverse issues: The wealthy had the means and influence not to be bothered by higher taxes and fees or to avoid them altogether. Not so much the middle classes, who lacked the clout of the virtue-signaling rich and the romance of the distant poor.V.D. Hanson
In other words, elites never suffered the firsthand consequences of their own ideological fiats.
Green policies were aimed at raising fees on, and restricting the use of, carbon-based fuels. But proposed green belt-tightening among hoi polloi was not matched by a cutback in second and third homes, overseas vacations, luxury cars, private jets and high-tech appurtenances.
In education, government directives and academic hectoring about admissions quotas and ideological indoctrination likewise targeted the middle classes but not the elite. The micromanagers of Western public schools and universities often preferred private academies and rigorous traditional training for own children. Elites relied on old-boy networks to get their own kids into colleges. Diversity administrators multiplied at universities while indebted students borrowed more money to pay for them.
In matters of immigration, the story was much the same. Western elites encouraged the migration of indigent, unskilled and often poorly educated foreign nationals who would ensure that government social programs -- and the power of the elites themselves -- grew. The champions of open borders made sure that such influxes did not materially affect their own neighborhoods, schools and privileged way of life.
Elites masked their hypocrisy by virtue-signaling their disdain for the supposedly xenophobic, racist or nativist middle classes. Yet the non-elite have experienced firsthand the impact on social programs, schools and safety from sudden, massive and often illegal immigration from Latin America, the Middle East, Africa and Asia into their communities.
I keep discussing pushback, for at some point either the courts or society will turn away from this process. The elite can fall, another elite can easily be elected. The first signs of the turning are here, and if Kunstler -- who is no fan of the traditionalists -- is seeing through the woke, their time is up. I like "Wokesterism". It captures the seedy desperation of those useful idiots.
The Oberlin case is of a piece with the widespread dishonest, despotic, and sadistic behavior syndrome that has roiled college campuses all over the country, and infected every corner of national life, including the giant social media companies, the corporate HR departments, the entire Democratic Party, virtually all show business, and the US Military. Wokesterism employs the same tactics used by Mao Zedong’s Red Guard during China’s “cultural revolution” of the 1960s — an epic fiasco of mass coercion in which millions of innocent people were imprisoned, tortured, and executed to consolidate the ageing and ailing Mao’s power and purge all dissenters. Even the Chinese communist party got sick of it and quashed the hysteria after Mao’s death.J.H. Kunstler, Clusterforked Nation.
Oberlin’s lame defense in the penalty phase of the court case was to plead poverty despite a nearly one-billion-dollar endowment — at a school which charges $70,000-a-year to attend. The punitive damages required the jury to find actual malice in the college’s behavior. In fact, the jury’s award of $33.2-million exceeded a statutory Ohio punitive damages cap of double compensatory damages (the $11-million).
In many cases like Oberlin’s around the nation — such as the mob that attacked author Charles Murray (The Bell Curve) at Middlebury College, the mobs that drove out biology professor Bret Weinstein at Evergreen College, the mob that bullied Nicholas Christakas at Yale, the serial mobs that disrupted many speakers at UC Berkeley — the mysterious common denominator is the acquiescence of college presidents and other campus authorities to the hysteria of the moment. The truth is, they were AWOL at best and often complicit in the action. The uproar at Oberlin may have been “triggered” by the dismaying election results of 2016, but a lot of this quasi-religious hysteria has been going on since long before the much-reviled Mr. Trump came on the scene. Campus deans and presidents have a lot to answer for. Until now, they have all skated neatly from scrutiny, with the help of an amazingly incurious news media. The hefty dollar judgment against Oberlin may be a caution to other college admins across the land that there actually are consequences for their cowardly and dishonorable behavior.
On other issues, it appears that the Pinebook Pro will be out this winter (I mean European Summer). They are now at pre production testing: it basically works, and there have been hardware upgrades. No preorders yet.