Imperial realpolitik

I note that those who have left NZ are being encouraged to vote. Fortunately, most do not.

Nor should they. They have no skin in the game.

As of 28 September, the Electoral Commission said about 67,000 New Zealand voters were currently enrolled at an overseas address. With enrolment open until the night before the election, Lee is hopeful that the Every Kiwi Vote Counts campaign can drive that number higher.

The New Zealand diaspora is often put at 1 million (though a 2012 government analysis was more cautious). On the basis of eligibility rates within the country, Lee suggested that “a conservative estimate” put the total of eligible overseas voters at 600,000 – 10 times the size of the Auckland Central, Wellington Central or Christchurch Central electorates.

But many will be ineligible to enrol under laws requiring that citizens have visited the country within the past three years (and residents within the past 12 months).

I would reserve the vote citizens in NZ who turn up on the day: in the ideal world I would argue that the leader of each family that pays tax should vote (and beneficiaries, prisoners, civil servants and serving officers in the military should not). That would ensure that people are not voting money for themselves, and the amount of “funding” for special interests would decrease. But then, I’m retrograde during the crisis caused by peak progressive imperial stupidity.

And the progressives are imperial.

Let’s be really clear about one thing. What China does to people within its own borders is largely its own business. Other powers have no need to interfere. It is stupid and counterproductive for the USA to knock heads with Buddhists, Confucians, and pagans by taking the side of Muslims in China’s Western regions. Those same Muslims would show no hesitation whatsoever in attempting to wipe out pagans and idolaters if they had the power to do so. The history of Islam in China is pretty much the same as it is anywhere else – it is a legacy of genocide and destruction second to none.

That being said – it is also necessary for the West to recognise that China is not one nation, but at least seven – Manchuria in the northeast, Mongolia in the central north, Canton in the south (current encompassing Guangdong province and Hong Kong SAR), Xinjiang in the northwest, Tibet in the southwest, and the Yellow River Han heartlands in the centre, east, and coast.

China today is not one contiguous nation. It is in fact a Han-dominated empire held together by the threat of (extreme) military force and the reality of population-replacement demographics. Eventually that empire will break apart, and it will happen a lot faster than any of us can imagine – just as the USA will break apart

After the empire ends, the tribe will survive. Realpolitik is about the people you have in a nation, not importing the people you would like. The Chinese don’t want the Muslims, true, but our leaders don’t like the children of the colonists (particularly the Christians) and want to swamp them with immigrants.

As if the dirt is magic, or a paper citizenship makes us one people.

Expect the Chinese imperial system to have the same difficulties that the Russians and Americans have. Russia is now a coherent place because they have reduced their imperial over reach. The USA and China will follow.

But the transition will be challenging, so avoid being where the crowds are. Crowds can too easily be turned into mobs.

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1 year ago

An interesting idea – I think it is a good one.
I’m surprised there are that many Kiwis abroad given the population of the country…
I agree that eventually the US will probably split up – but I think it will take much longer than China. China has only been truly unified for about 100 years – half of which is under Communism currently, and the other half was under the Khans, who weren’t actually Chinese. When China comes apart, it will be worse than the Balkans or Africa, especially since nukes WILL be used.

Not necessarily nukes on their fellow Han. Tibet and the Protectorates, probably

1 year ago

Americans can vote in Federal elections wherever they live. I have cousins who have not lived in the US for decades (and don’t ever intend to come back) but vote each year for the Democratic party candidate for President. It can be frustrating for those of us who have to live under the results but the rationalization behind the policy is that all citizens have a stake in the direction of the country.

Canada does not allow anyone who is a non-resident to vote, so as a naturalized citizen (grew up there and got dual citizenship, a discussion for another day) I can go back any time I want but can’t vote unless I move back.