Population Implosion Coming?
Drager predicts by 2020, for NZ, that the population will have dropped from 4.9 million to 3.1 million and the GDP from 176 billion to 49 billion. He assumes the end of the liberal neoconservative system, and that it is much more fragile that the soviet system that preceded it.
1. The Western world success model has been built over societies with no resilience that can barely withstand any hardship, even a low intensity one. It was assumed but we got the full confirmation beyond any doubt.
2. The COVID crisis will be used to extend the life of this dying economic system through the so called Great Reset.
The Great Reset; like the climate change, extinction rebellion, planetary crisis, green revolution, shale oil (…) hoaxes promoted by the system; is another attempt to slow down dramatically the consumption of natural resources and therefore extend the lifetime of the current system. It can be effective for awhile but finally won’t address the bottom-line problem and will only delay the inevitable. The core ruling elites hope to stay in power which is in effect the only thing that really worries them.
The collapse of the Western financial system - and ultimately the Western civilization - has been the major driver in the forecast along with a confluence of crisis with a devastating outcome. As COVID has proven Western societies embracing multiculturalism and extreme liberalism are unable to deal with any real hardship. The Spanish flu one century ago represented the death of 40-50 million people. Today the world’s population is four times greater with air travel in full swing which is by definition a super spreader. The death casualties in today’s World would represent 160 to 200 million in relative terms but more likely 300-400 million taking into consideration the air travel factor that did not exist one century ago. So far, COVID death toll is roughly 1 million people. It is quite likely that the economic crisis due to the lockdowns will cause more deaths than the virus worldwide.
The Soviet system was less able to deliver goodies to the people than the Western one. Nevertheless Soviet society was more compact and resilient under an authoritarian regime. That in mind, the collapse of the Soviet system wiped out 10 percent of the population. The stark reality of diverse and multicultural Western societies is that a collapse will have a toll of 50 to 80 percent depending on several factors but in general terms the most diverse, multicultural, indebted and wealthy (highest standard of living) will suffer the highest toll. The only glue that keeps united such aberrant collage from falling apart is overconsumption with heavy doses of bottomless degeneracy disguised as virtue. Nevertheless the widespread censorship, hate laws and contradictory signals mean that even that glue is not working any more. Not everybody has to die migration can also play a positive role in this.
Vox Day comments.
Actually, their core logic isn't unreasonable. They are looking at pretty much the same thing I've been anticipating, which is the catastrophic failure of the neoliberal order beginning with the financial sector. The real question isn't whether the collapse will happen or not, but if Soviet society was actually much 5x-8x more resilient than the Western societies.
I think that the more rural parts of nations will do better. I've said for years get the hell out of the big cities and well away from the rancid rainbow. Besides, it looks like internal borders will stay up, not as much to keep the meth out, but the SJWs. (The break up of Australia into the previous colonies is likely when the pressure hits: Australia did not exist until 1901. NZ had smart premiers then, who chose not to join the new confederation, and Western Australia will be the first to leave).
But this level of implosion will take more than socailism. It will take war. Let us pray that Drager is completely wrong.