Wisdom from the Wilder.

The essential Wilder read each month is his civil war post. He’s bleak, but not bleak enough. I live in a island of 1 million that has less and less in common with the capital. Division is logical. The first thing that you need to do, if you want to secede, is destroy the moral authority of the president, prime minister, and his structure. The democrats and Labour are doing that nicely.

Biden’s approval rating is in the dirt. Almost everything that could be a difficulty, is a difficulty. When Bill Clinton was in this position, he hired nominally Republican staffers to help him. They “triangulated” and tried to find positions where the Left and Right could be ignored, and a compromise solution could be proposed. It worked, and without his lying under oath, this strategy made him a much more effective President.

Biden does not appear to have that luxury. Viewed on the Left as a compromise that could defeat Trump, there’s no real excitement for him outside of his bedroom, and, honestly, probably not there either. The Hard Commie Left considers him a fascist, the progressives consider him a sell-out, and the moderate Left barely exists anymore. Biden’s base . . . doesn’t exist.

The Right doesn’t like him at all, and is following the post-1990 opposition playbook of “do anything to make him fail” that only had a short truce after 9/11.

Who does that leave?

Well, he tried mandating “the Jab” because, with 59% of Americans double-jabbed, he thought that he could get someone on his side. Ooops. Turns out that only the hardcore Left want to take people’s jobs and then put them in camps if they’re not vaxxed. It was a longshot, and (right now) it looks like a big failure.

The scary part of this is that when people are really far down, they tend to take major risks to try to win. If it’s the bottom of the ninth and there’s a runner on base and you’re up at bat, the chances of swinging for the fence to get a homer go up. Why? Nothing left to lose, baby.

Like I said – scary. What policies will he try and how will he push in order to gain the support of the Left? And will that push the United States even farther apart?

Peaceful division can happen. The Slovaks left the Czechs. But bloody situations, as happened when Serbia emerged from Yugoslavia, are far more likely.

The fantasy is that the USA will divide easily. I don’t see that. With grandchildren in Canada, and similar instabilities there. Jared Brock is hopeful.

So why not take the bloated carcass that is the American corporatocracy and carve it up into a handful of actual democracies?

With any luck, we could see some pretty amazing things come out of the USA:

Washington and Oregon will become Cascadia and rebuild the rainforest.
Utah will rename itself Deseret and grab a chunk of Nevada.
New England will be the world’s purveyor of blueberries, maple syrup, and winter skiing adventures.
32% of Californians already support Calexit, which will make it the fifth-biggest economy in the world (ahead of the UK, France, Italy, India, and hundreds more.)
The Plains Nation will continue to feed the world as a giant agrarian commune, likely swarmed with bitcoin-loving libertarian “sovereign individuals.”
Texas (or rather, the Hispanic-majority República de Tejas) will have the eleventh largest military on earth, the tenth-largest economy, its own power grid, and enough solar and wind power to be a net clean energy exporter.
Las Vegas will obviously become the American Amsterdam.
Minorities will pour out of Dixie, plunging the Deep South into social chaos and economic depression — and perhaps the Confederacy will finally learn the lessons they were supposed to learn from the Civil War. (Or maybe it becomes New Afrika and all the whites head for Florida.)
New York City CorpTM (12th-largest economy) will become the first city-state with skyscrapers to be fully underwater due to rising sea levels.

What’s compelling about Tinyism is that the more experiments we run, the more we’ll discover what works and doesn’t work. Clearly, Sweden is better than North Korea. But is the Texan way better than the California way? With Tinyism, we’ll know pretty quickly. In that sense, Tinyism is almost free-market, with the political “market” being democracy itself.

Yeah, right. Brock forgets that Canada is just as unstable.

  • Cascadia will include British Columbia, Oregon, and Washington State. But it will lose the internal parts of all of the above to a greater Idaho that will expand into the Canadian Prairies.
  • The Midwestern States — Dakotas, Idaho, and Alberta — make up a Conservative Redoubt
  • Quebec will go it alone, with the blessing of every anglophone Canuck
  • Ontario would fit into the midland. The main issue is that Toronto will not want to play second fiddle to Chicago. Expect a royalist Upper Canada to get the progessive parts of Minnesota.
  • Texas will not speak English. They already speak Texan, which have never been English. The border may shift south: upper mexico may go Tejano.

I could go on. Much more likely is that Victoria will engineer the destruction of the commonwealth of Australia, which everyone except those in Melbourne and Canberra will see as a good thing. (Australia was founded in 1901. Sydney was founded in the mid 18th century).

But the model for this is Yugloslavia, not, repeat not, Czechoslovakia.

UPDATE.

For Zorost, who notes that Peace sells but who is buying.

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Nimrod Maroon
Nimrod Maroon
1 month ago

I’m 65 and was born and raised in Texas. In many localities our English is arguably the best in the country, albeit with a twang or drawl. Though official State forms and telephone IVR systems are bilingual, I have observed no diminution of spoken English in public fora. I myself use 1949 and 1951 editions of the Webster’s Unabridged Dictionary, respectively, and I have a hard-bound copy of the Oxford English Dictionary that I use to augment studies in the etymologies of words. I do understand written Spanish and Greek, but use neither in everyday speech. To paraphrase Mark Twain’s apocryphal quote, “Reports of the demise of the English language have been greatly exaggerated”.

Jim
Jim
1 month ago

The map is a bit off in regards to Florida, the Southland boundary needs to be about twenty miles further south, Polk, Citrus, Sumpter, Lake, Volusia counties are definitely not Caribbean

Rodney Turner
Rodney Turner
1 month ago

There will not be a breakup…more like a gradual slide into the world’s first super-ghetto. Our situation is entirely fueled by racial biology. Along with a factor that I have termed “Hyper-mongrelization”. In short, we have been niggered to death…

Grindstone
Grindstone
1 month ago

Justin has been hard at work for six years cultivating resentment and division in Canada. Making it almost inevitable that Alberta and Saskatchewan will try for more decentralized autonomy, similar to Quebec.

BC will be split three ways between the pozzed coast joining Cascadia and getting royally shafted by the Americans shortly thereafter. Most of BC east of the coast mountains will attach itself to Alberta and the U.S. Rocky Mtn states and might be able to hang on to the Port of Prince Rupert and the smelter at Kitimat. The northern Fringes will join Alaska.

A Landmesser
A Landmesser
1 month ago

If the minoritiesleave the South, then you know the South shall rise again!

Jack
Jack
1 month ago

weka,

He left it out, but not out of ignorance.

Jonathan
Jonathan
1 month ago

A division will happen eventually. What form will it take? I don’t know, but I am sure it won’t follow neat existing lines on the map and I’m sure it will be messy, especially in contested or border areas.

Zorost
Zorost
1 month ago

Those in control have shown very clearly that they have no intention of letting anyone get out of their clutches. It will be Yugoslavia, followed by a conservative Reconquista due to much higher birth rates and internal cohesion. I doubt it will take anywhere close to 700 years like the first one. As one of the wisest of the 20th century poet-philosophers once said, “peace sells, but who’s buying?”

Megadeath makes it here! I fully expect the world to go full moron. I have friends who are embedded in the US, and the revival and reconquista is starting already. The government has lost the mantle of heaven, and the moral high ground is with the deplorables.

Jack
Jack
1 month ago

Mr. Brock left out all the marxist post colonial governments running multiple nation states on the continent of Africa for much of the past 6 decades. His understanding of the United States is just as bad. So is his forecasting. You find clearer insights in a college bull session, though you find a lot of takes just like his.